Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.010733 0.012992 0.015829 0.019741 0.025147 0.032594 0.044103
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.008382 0.011085 0.014967 0.021274 0.032003 0.051277 0.094206
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.006848 0.009536 0.013719 0.021273 0.036169 0.069274 0.174241
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.005805 0.008379 0.012620 0.020910 0.039310 0.088681 0.316981
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004893 0.007219 0.011194 0.019372 0.039043 0.099719 0.491931
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004276 0.006432 0.010234 0.018430 0.039697 0.115225 0.849990
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003889 0.005968 0.009760 0.018355 0.042653 0.145140 2.051501
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003635 0.005696 0.009589 0.018907 0.047921 0.199521 10.230524
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003376 0.005378 0.009265 0.018987 0.051845 0.261809 250.912604
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003083 0.004959 0.008664 0.018185 0.052089 0.301281 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002866 0.004660 0.008271 0.017842 0.054072 0.371937 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002773 0.004589 0.008356 0.018864 0.063064 0.612008 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002680 0.004528 0.008509 0.020342 0.077612 1.347248 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002590 0.004466 0.008656 0.021950 0.096976 4.193539 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002430 0.004239 0.008363 0.021949 0.106280 10.712358 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002274 0.004000 0.008000 0.021571 0.112591 31.976890 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002084 0.003672 0.007364 0.019965 0.105836 39.941348 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001938 0.003429 0.006917 0.018983 0.104229 87.838982 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001842 0.003286 0.006713 0.018906 0.112095 9010.476990 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001779 0.003208 0.006670 0.019480 0.129409 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001705 0.003097 0.006522 0.019565 0.141953 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001607 0.002927 0.006189 0.018728 0.140001 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001532 0.002804 0.005973 0.018371 0.145322 NaN NaN